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Decision making using Mind Maps
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How should we increase the number of leads for our business?
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Probabilistic value
Optimistic
Income $50,000
Probability 0.3
Neutral
Income $10,000
Probability 0.6
Pessimistic
Income $2,000
Probability 0.1
Weighted value
Implementation speed
0.11 * 0.63 = 0.07
Short term impact
0.62 * 0.68 = 0.42
Long term value
0.27 * 0.47 = 0.13
Print
Probabilistic value
Optimistic
Income $100,000
Probability 0.1
Neutral
Income $20,000
Probability 0.2
Pessimistic
Income $5,000
Probability 0.7
Weighted value
Implementation speed
0.11 * 0.11 = 0.01
Short term impact
0.62 * 0.25 = 0.16
Long term value
0.27 * 0.05 = 0.01
Affiliate program
Probabilistic value
Optimistic
Income $200,000
Probability 0.1
Neutral
Income $50,000
Probability 0.5
Pessimistic
Income $1,000
Probability 0.4
Weighted value
Implementation speed
0.11 * 0.26 = 0.03
Short term impact
0.62 * 0.06 = 0.04
Long term value
0.27 * 0.47 = 0.13
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